Statistics Profile

Elinda Liu

2009

Epic Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1964	1780 - 2147	1951	2558
Épée	Direct elimination	2048	1765 - 2330	1855	2550
Foil	Pool	1657	1486 - 1827	1479	2531
Foil	Direct elimination	1912	1711 - 2112	1777	2126

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.