Statistics Profile

Elinda Liu

2009

Epic Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1949	1769 - 2128	1949	2558
Épée	Direct elimination	2036	1756 - 2315	1855	2550
Foil	Pool	1615	1444 - 1785	1479	2531
Foil	Direct elimination	1886	1689 - 2082	1777	2126

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.