Statistics Profile

Ethan Luh

2006

Maximum Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2303	2076 - 2529	2048	2404
Épée	Direct elimination	2548	2151 - 2944	1811	2637
Foil	Pool	2868	2696 - 3039	2478	2979
Foil	Direct elimination	3050	2880 - 3219	1751	3114

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.