Statistics Profile

Mika Chirashnya

2008

Academy Of Fencing Masters (AFM)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2234	2066 - 2401	1211	2270
Épée	Direct elimination	2283	2108 - 2457	1669	2298
Foil	Pool	2121	1939 - 2302	2028	2480
Foil	Direct elimination	2344	2049 - 2638	2344	2909

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.