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Statistics Profile

Brian X Li

Verified
2003
Vassar College Fencing Club NCAA Metro Tacoma Fencing Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2672 2503 - 2840 2436 2974
Épée Direct elimination 3192 3014 - 3369 2079 3218
Foil Pool 2454 2154 - 2753 1834 2460
Foil Direct elimination 2582 2112 - 3051 2321 2827
Saber Pool 1679 1084 - 2273 1620 1679
Saber Direct elimination 1844 716 - 2971 1844 2172

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.