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Statistics Profile

Andy Zhang

Verified
2005
Epic Fencing Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2926 2668 - 3183 2894 3540
Épée Direct elimination 3337 3003 - 3670 3332 3492
Foil Pool 3329 3155 - 3502 3087 3578
Foil Direct elimination 3435 3263 - 3606 2200 3486

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.