Statistics Profile

Lela Mittman

2007

Vassar College Fencing Club NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1878	1689 - 2066	1878	2226
Épée	Direct elimination	2034	1701 - 2366	1918	2382

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.