Statistics Profile

Fredric Scott

1952

Renaissance Fencing Club Olympian Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1740	1253 - 2226	1740	2089
Épée	Direct elimination	1770	919 - 2620	1770	2235
Foil	Pool	385	0 - 887	385	893
Foil	Direct elimination	1736	412 - 3059	1736	1736

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.