Statistics Profile

Gracyn Githens

2004

University of Incarnate Word Fencing NCAA Olympian Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2534	2367 - 2700	2527	2922
Épée	Direct elimination	2708	2511 - 2904	2065	2759
Saber	Pool	1151	333 - 1968	1151	1151
Saber	Direct elimination	1839	610 - 3067	1839	1839

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.