Statistics Profile

Stephen Ringle

1995

University Alaska Fairbanks Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1852	1040 - 2663	1852	1852
Épée	Direct elimination	2804	1497 - 4110	2804	2804
Foil	Pool	2787	2070 - 3503	2787	2787
Foil	Direct elimination	1797	508 - 3085	1797	1797

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.