Statistics Profile

Chaissen Costello

2005

Sacred Heart University NCAA Rhode Island Fencing Academy And Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2926	2748 - 3103	2522	3047
Foil	Direct elimination	2940	2767 - 3112	2514	3204

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.