Statistics Profile

Caroline Bach

2002

Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia - University City

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2289	1995 - 2582	1885	2308
Épée	Direct elimination	2243	1496 - 2989	1700	2328
Foil	Pool	1543	612 - 2473	1543	1543

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.