Statistics Profile

Luke Barton

2008

Boise Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1376	1129 - 1622	1133	1589
Épée	Direct elimination	1844	798 - 2889	1844	1844
Foil	Pool	890	525 - 1254	789	1375
Foil	Direct elimination	887	92 - 1681	887	1220

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.