Statistics Profile

Ava Cheng

2005

Stoccata Fencing Academy & Club Penta Olympic Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2608	2432 - 2783	2575	2997
Épée	Direct elimination	2967	2785 - 3148	2266	3108
Foil	Pool	2754	2127 - 3380	2733	2754
Foil	Direct elimination	3390	2356 - 4423	3390	3390

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.