Statistics Profile

Anthony Liao

2002

University Of Florida Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3238	2114 - 4361	3238	3238
Épée	Direct elimination	2617	1673 - 3560	2617	2617
Foil	Pool	2209	1990 - 2427	2088	2398
Foil	Direct elimination	2277	2028 - 2525	2159	2542

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.