Statistics Profile

Mary Kolbas

2002

Apex Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2012	1639 - 2384	1766	2218
Foil	Direct elimination	1895	1239 - 2550	1710	2008

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.