Statistics Profile

Taylor Cho

2003

Boston College NCAA SoCAL Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2862	2167 - 3556	2862	2862
Épée	Direct elimination	1971	689 - 3252	1971	1971
Foil	Pool	2710	2538 - 2881	2496	3468
Foil	Direct elimination	2827	2616 - 3037	1902	2894

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.