Statistics Profile

Philip Mitchell

2004

Georgia Tech University Yellow Jacket Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1900	1250 - 2549	1900	1900
Foil	Pool	3121	2939 - 3302	1951	3225
Foil	Direct elimination	3347	3168 - 3525	1913	3368

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.