Statistics Profile

Aden Kushnir

2006

Rutgers University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2112	1937 - 2286	1628	2175
Foil	Direct elimination	2279	2039 - 2518	2032	2495
Saber	Pool	1157	338 - 1975	1157	1157
Saber	Direct elimination	1792	566 - 3017	1792	1792

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.