Statistics Profile

Samuel Thomas

2003

Indianapolis Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2416	2235 - 2596	2245	3212
Épée	Direct elimination	2873	2681 - 3064	1809	2944
Foil	Pool	2043	1422 - 2663	1948	2479
Foil	Direct elimination	1557	781 - 2332	1557	1690
Saber	Pool	2022	1637 - 2406	1814	2268
Saber	Direct elimination	1916	1396 - 2435	1695	1961

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.