Statistics Profile

Kaiden Choi

Verified
2007
US Air Force Academy NCAA University Denver Fencing Center

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2397 2225 - 2568 1479 2488
Épée Direct elimination 2638 2468 - 2807 1626 2649
Foil Pool 1659 1053 - 2264 1659 1659
Foil Direct elimination 1711 542 - 2879 1711 1711
Saber Pool 841 139 - 1542 841 1006
Saber Direct elimination 1855 705 - 3004 1855 2065

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.