Statistics Profile

Joseph Pinkerton

2000
Winter Garden Fencing Academy New Trier X-Caliber Fencing Club
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2065 1563 - 2566 2065 2140
Épée Direct elimination 1464 412 - 2515 1464 1583
Foil Pool 1885 1707 - 2062 1877 2761
Foil Direct elimination 2176 1972 - 2379 2085 3296
Saber Pool 2224 1468 - 2979 2224 2224
Saber Direct elimination 2130 697 - 3562 2130 2130

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.