Statistics Profile

Joseph Pinkerton

2000

Winter Garden Fencing Academy New Trier X-Caliber Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2065	1563 - 2566	2065	2141
Épée	Direct elimination	1464	412 - 2515	1464	1583
Foil	Pool	1885	1707 - 2062	1877	2761
Foil	Direct elimination	2176	1972 - 2379	2085	3296
Saber	Pool	2224	1468 - 2979	2224	2224
Saber	Direct elimination	2130	697 - 3562	2130	2130

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.