Statistics Profile

Yao (Liam) Li

2007

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2434	2249 - 2618	2101	2458
Foil	Direct elimination	2647	2386 - 2907	2093	2699
Saber	Pool	1969	1802 - 2135	1541	2138
Saber	Direct elimination	2180	1966 - 2393	1509	2291

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.