Statistics Profile

Steven Nguyen

1989

East Bay Fencers Gym

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2478	2271 - 2684	2478	2925
Épée	Direct elimination	2051	1652 - 2449	1385	2108
Foil	Pool	1707	1344 - 2069	1585	1892
Foil	Direct elimination	1767	1200 - 2333	1599	2079
Saber	Pool	2543	1798 - 3287	2543	2819
Saber	Direct elimination	1938	598 - 3277	1938	1938

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.