Statistics Profile

Christopher Watkins

1996

Georgia Southern University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1834	967 - 2700	1834	1834
Foil	Pool	1566	1191 - 1940	1389	2157
Foil	Direct elimination	1167	281 - 2052	1167	2079
Saber	Pool	1182	530 - 1833	1182	1182
Saber	Direct elimination	2255	1150 - 3359	2255	2255

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.