Statistics Profile

Sabrina Fang

2005

Princeton University NCAA Tim Morehouse Fencing Club (Port Chester)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	3514	3328 - 3699	3067	3576
Foil	Direct elimination	3829	3649 - 4008	3218	3883
Saber	Pool	2576	2230 - 2921	2553	2639
Saber	Direct elimination	2509	1816 - 3201	2090	2509

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.