Statistics Profile

Chloe Chen

2008

Elite Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2826	2652 - 2999	2203	3078
Foil	Direct elimination	3019	2851 - 3186	1989	3063
Saber	Pool	1627	856 - 2397	1627	1627
Saber	Direct elimination	2406	1371 - 3440	2406	2406

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.