Statistics Profile

Samuel Shrem

2001

Medeo Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2440	2261 - 2618	2440	2874
Épée	Direct elimination	2733	2522 - 2943	2496	2926
Foil	Pool	1876	1561 - 2190	1534	1937
Foil	Direct elimination	2168	1764 - 2571	2081	2340

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.