Statistics Profile

Eric Madsen

2000

Valkyrie Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2672	2492 - 2851	2230	2672
Épée	Direct elimination	2687	2431 - 2942	2327	2794
Foil	Pool	2255	2000 - 2509	2044	2298
Foil	Direct elimination	2444	2056 - 2831	2143	2833
Saber	Pool	1927	1658 - 2195	1662	1927
Saber	Direct elimination	2401	1805 - 2996	1329	2401

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.