Statistics Profile

Tulliver Lines

2004

Cambridge Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1686	911 - 2460	1686	1686
Épée	Direct elimination	2118	780 - 3455	2118	2118
Foil	Pool	1865	1199 - 2530	1865	1865
Foil	Direct elimination	1756	573 - 2938	1756	1756

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.