Statistics Profile

Erik Fong

2000

University of Alabama in Huntsville Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2505	1934 - 3075	2505	3429
Épée	Direct elimination	2450	1731 - 3168	2384	2509
Foil	Pool	1809	1109 - 2508	1809	1809
Foil	Direct elimination	1950	635 - 3264	1950	1950

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.