Statistics Profile

Victoria Lin

2006

Long Island Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1813	1646 - 1979	1242	2047
Épée	Direct elimination	1986	1794 - 2177	1375	2119
Foil	Pool	1838	1666 - 2009	1838	2384
Foil	Direct elimination	2064	1886 - 2241	2045	2811

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.