Statistics Profile

Chenxi (Heidi) Zhu

2004

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3024	2830 - 3217	2887	3213
Épée	Direct elimination	3167	2862 - 3471	3167	3795
Foil	Pool	2960	2422 - 3497	2960	3107
Foil	Direct elimination	3003	2235 - 3770	3003	3320

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.