Statistics Profile

Sarah Drack

2005

Iron Works Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2217	1770 - 2663	2108	2217
Épée	Direct elimination	2487	1402 - 3571	2487	2571
Foil	Pool	1542	1163 - 1920	1542	1750
Foil	Direct elimination	2066	1123 - 3008	1950	2184

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.