Statistics Profile

Julian Quintero

2007

Masters Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1711	1368 - 2053	1355	2448
Épée	Direct elimination	2015	1340 - 2689	1392	2079
Foil	Pool	1668	1486 - 1849	1404	1795
Foil	Direct elimination	1767	1473 - 2060	1378	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.