Statistics Profile

Wyatt Lake

2006

Harvard-Westlake High School Wolverines

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2263	1490 - 3035	2263	2263
Épée	Direct elimination	2687	1644 - 3729	2687	2687
Foil	Pool	2363	2182 - 2543	1548	2624
Foil	Direct elimination	2652	2417 - 2886	2079	2894

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.