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Statistics Profile

Lucas Sokolik

2003
Lincoln Fencing Club Omaha Fencing Club
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1618 1165 - 2070 1618 2028
Épée Direct elimination 2203 1285 - 3120 2141 2203
Foil Pool 1014 483 - 1544 1014 1165
Foil Direct elimination 1267 306 - 2227 1267 1704
Saber Pool 1453 460 - 2445 1453 1453
Saber Direct elimination 3082 1804 - 4359 3082 3082

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.