Statistics Profile

Matthew Hane

2001

Columbus Fencing And Fitness LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2512	2204 - 2819	2193	2832
Épée	Direct elimination	2490	1844 - 3135	2490	2935
Saber	Pool	1235	308 - 2161	1235	1235
Saber	Direct elimination	1840	535 - 3144	1840	1840

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.