Statistics Profile

Carolina Dille

2004

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2190	2014 - 2365	1693	2313
Épée	Direct elimination	2336	2046 - 2625	1947	2484
Saber	Pool	2247	2076 - 2417	1739	2374
Saber	Direct elimination	2345	2060 - 2629	1938	2505

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.