Statistics Profile

Alexander Gibbons

2005

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1969	1637 - 2300	1847	2045
Épée	Direct elimination	2314	1690 - 2937	1924	2314
Foil	Pool	2319	1889 - 2748	2127	2319
Foil	Direct elimination	2213	1480 - 2945	1571	2213

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.