Statistics Profile

Fernando Saucedo

1974

Arizona State University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1979	1691 - 2266	1979	2304
Épée	Direct elimination	1663	1131 - 2194	1663	2350
Foil	Pool	1602	1393 - 1810	1222	1818
Foil	Direct elimination	1651	1254 - 2047	1499	2079
Saber	Pool	1016	379 - 1652	1016	1157
Saber	Direct elimination	1826	849 - 2802	1826	1944

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.