Statistics Profile

Steven Smith

1984

Savage Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1082	392 - 1771	1082	1321
Épée	Direct elimination	2133	1285 - 2980	2133	2314
Foil	Pool	1091	450 - 1731	1091	1306
Foil	Direct elimination	1556	516 - 2595	1556	1946

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.