Statistics Profile

Jia Chen

2006

V Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2959	2778 - 3139	2343	3361
Foil	Direct elimination	3592	3415 - 3768	3033	3618
Saber	Pool	1520	557 - 2482	1520	1520
Saber	Direct elimination	2718	1242 - 4193	2718	2718

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.