Statistics Profile

Aidan Cipolla

2000

Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia - North Philadelphia Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1510	1233 - 1786	1135	1677
Épée	Direct elimination	1418	770 - 2065	1299	1785
Foil	Pool	1319	512 - 2125	1319	1319
Foil	Direct elimination	3202	2053 - 4350	3202	3202

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.