Fencing Tracker

Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2049	1878 - 2219	1478	2100
Épée	Direct elimination	2084	1896 - 2271	1478	2084
Foil	Pool	3312	2119 - 4504	3312	3312
Foil	Direct elimination	1996	915 - 3076	1996	1996

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.