Statistics Profile

Julian Baker

2001

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2456	2243 - 2668	1827	2458
Épée	Direct elimination	2347	1721 - 2972	2202	2488
Foil	Pool	2355	1820 - 2889	2304	2355
Foil	Direct elimination	1726	768 - 2683	1726	1829

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.