Statistics Profile

Elway Goedicke

2004

Nashville Elite Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2310	2086 - 2533	2253	2443
Épée	Direct elimination	2352	2007 - 2696	1915	2566
Foil	Pool	1440	529 - 2350	1440	1440
Foil	Direct elimination	2982	1647 - 4316	2982	2982

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.