Statistics Profile

Ilia Tikhonov

Verified
2008
ASER International Fencing Academy

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2521 2346 - 2695 1994 2521
Épée Direct elimination 2943 2770 - 3115 2363 2974
Foil Pool 2100 1778 - 2421 2079 3409
Foil Direct elimination 2376 1846 - 2905 2321 2921

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.