Statistics Profile

Marc Hernandez

Verified
1973
Altius Fencing Academy Austin Fencers Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1747 1416 - 2077 1747 1882
Épée Direct elimination 1480 873 - 2086 1402 1480
Foil Pool 1750 1577 - 1922 1678 2974
Foil Direct elimination 2028 1791 - 2264 1657 2189
Saber Pool 1685 1421 - 1948 1065 1701
Saber Direct elimination 1676 1228 - 2123 1549 2555

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Register to view this matchup

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Create account Log in

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.