Statistics Profile

Marc Hernandez

1973
Austin Fencers Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1882 1363 - 2400 1882 1882
Épée Direct elimination 1402 556 - 2247 1402 1402
Foil Pool 1701 1528 - 1873 1678 2973
Foil Direct elimination 2006 1763 - 2248 1657 2189
Saber Pool 1648 1355 - 1940 1065 1677
Saber Direct elimination 1723 1232 - 2213 1549 2555

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Log in to compare your projected matchup, or create an account with your USFA number to enable it.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.