The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem.

Take Action

Statistics Profile

Marc Hernandez

Verified
1973
Altius Fencing Academy

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1882 1363 - 2400 1882 1882
Épée Direct elimination 1402 556 - 2247 1402 1402
Foil Pool 1701 1528 - 1873 1678 2974
Foil Direct elimination 2005 1762 - 2247 1657 2189
Saber Pool 1685 1399 - 1970 1065 1685
Saber Direct elimination 1668 1196 - 2139 1549 2555

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Register to view this matchup

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Create account Log in

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.