Statistics Profile

Julien Lim

2006

Columbia University NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2590	2198 - 2981	2590	3010
Épée	Direct elimination	2998	2363 - 3632	2823	3119
Foil	Pool	2360	1823 - 2896	2082	2360
Foil	Direct elimination	2199	1172 - 3225	2199	2585

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.