Statistics Profile

Audrey Toffelmire

2010

International Academy for Fencing Education

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1655	1484 - 1825	1526	2299
Épée	Direct elimination	1941	1744 - 2137	1899	2859
Foil	Pool	1621	1072 - 2169	1621	2496
Foil	Direct elimination	1472	353 - 2590	1472	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.